Published date: 20 February 2025

Awarded contract - This means that the contract has been awarded to a supplier.


Closing: 17 February 2025, 12am

Contract summary

Industry

  • Research and development services and related consultancy services - 73000000

  • Research services - 73110000

Location of contract

London

Value of contract

£58,525.25

Procurement reference

BIP926743958

Published date

20 February 2025

Closing date

17 February 2025

Closing time

12am

Contract start date

1 April 2025

Contract end date

31 March 2026

Contract type

Service contract

Procedure type

Not specified

Contract is suitable for SMEs?

No

Contract is suitable for VCSEs?

Yes

Description

To develop the Policeometer project, we require a research and data analytics partner to provide the following key services:

Data Collection and Integration

Obtain and consolidate high-quality data on relevant societal factors (e.g., unemployment rates, cost of living, population density, police workforce hours, stop and search). This data should be granular (e.g. weekly records if available) and span an appropriate period to ensure robust analysis.

Ensure data is accurate, reliable, and suitably formatted for statistical modelling, with preprocessing steps as needed to address any gaps, inconsistencies, or potential biases.

Analytical Model Development

Build econometric models (or equivalent analytical model) to estimate the relationships between societal factors and rates of crime across London. This includes developing a theoretical framework that identifies and structures the factors likely impacting crime rates.

Build econometric models (or equivalent analytical model) to estimate the relationships between societal factors and trust and confidence in the MPS. This includes developing a theoretical framework that identifies and structures the factors likely impacting these factors.

The analysis should test for statistical significance of each factor, with rigorous diagnostics to validate model results.

Scenario Planning and Forecasting Tool

Integrate the validated models into an interactive scenario planning dashboard, allowing users to adjust key variables and observe the predicted impact on rates crime and impacts on trust and confidence in the MPS.

The tool should provide clear, visual outputs that support policy simulations, helping stakeholders evaluate the potential effects of different societal conditions on crime trends across London.

Documentation and Training

There are a total of 33 Boroughs in London and a 12 crime types as well as 2 public perception metrics we'd like modelling. We are not expecting a fully developed tool with nearly 400 models, rather we'd like a sample of 2-3 crime models and 1 perception model to act as the template and the knowledge to build the remainder ourselves.

Provide detailed code and documentation of all analytical processes, assumptions, and limitations to ensure transparency and reproducibility.

Offer training and guidance on developing further models and deploying the into scenario planning tool.

SMART objective/ policy objective

The successful provider will be bound by the commitments made in their tender.

More information

Links

Award information

Awarded date

17 February 2025

Contract start date

1 April 2025

Contract end date

31 March 2026

Total value of contract

£58,525.25

This contract was awarded to 1 supplier.

MANNING GOTTLIEB OMD

Address

3, Bankside
90-100 Southwark St
London
SE1 0SW

Reference

None

Supplier is SME?

No

About the buyer

Contact name

N/A

Address

169, Union Street
London
SE1 0LL
UK

Telephone

077777777

Email

mopacprocurement@mopac.london.gov.uk