Published date: 21 September 2023

Last edited date: 21 September 2023

This notice was replaced on 21 September 2023

This notice does not contain the most up-to-date information about this procurement. The most recent notice is:

Opportunity (published 21 September 2023, last edited 21 September 2023)

Closed opportunity - This means that the contract is currently closed. The buying department may be considering suppliers that have already applied, or no suitable offers were made.


Contract summary

Industry

  • Economic research services - 79311400

Location of contract

SW1P 3JR

Value of contract

£0

Procurement reference

CF-0135600D8d000003VQwdEAG

Published date

21 September 2023

Closing date

20 October 2023

Closing time

12pm

Contract start date

10 November 2023

Contract end date

30 November 2025

Contract type

Service contract

Procedure type

Open procedure (above threshold)

Any interested supplier may submit a tender in response to an opportunity notice.

This procedure can be used for procurements above the relevant contract value threshold.

Contract is suitable for SMEs?

Yes

Contract is suitable for VCSEs?

Yes

Description

There is a need for Defra to better understand the impact of food price changes on consumers health and welfare, which has become more pressing in light of increasing pressures from modern society. The global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the UKs exist from the European Union (EU) and the war in the Ukraine has contributed to increase food price volatility in the UK, and November 2022 saw year-on-year food price inflation rise to the highest levels since the 1970s.

There is a need for Defra to better understand the impact of food price changes on consumers health and welfare, which has become more pressing in light of increasing pressures from modern society.

We are seeking an external consultant to deliver the development of a single model combining the current food price and elasticities frameworks and expand the research even further to gain an in-depth understanding of what drives food affordability, accounting for the heterogeneity across household types and groups. The model should allow Defra to test different types of scenarios (the 'what if' questions) and measure the impacts of food price inflation (the 'so what' questions) on different household groups.

This research has 6 main objectives:

1. To make an incremental improvement to the accuracy and usefulness of the current food price modelling systems by using the most updated data sets provided by the Authority (unless tenderers are a market research, market data and marketing consulting agency, then you will need to provide your own data set at your own cost - see Data Requirements and Sharing in the Specification).

2. To identify the impacts of food price movements on household affordability, welfare, and dietary habits through the creation of an analytical model.

3. To analyse the effects of food price movements on consumer behaviour amongst economically and socially disadvantaged groups in England.

4. Upon provision of a list of options by Defra, to prioritise possible options for policy interventions targeted at food affordability and accessibility.

5. To produce a variant of the current food price modelling system to analyse the impact of food price drivers in a period of heightened food price volatility.

6. To improve functionality of the modelling system to produce results on sector-led basis, thus improving granularity of data.

More information

Previous notice about this procurement

Development and Expansion of Existing Food Price Modelling System

  • Opportunity
  • Published 21 September 2023

About the buyer

Contact name

Emily Hayes

Address

Nobel House, 17 Smith Square
London
SW1P 3JR
United Kingdom

Email

Network.Procurement@defra.gov.uk