Published date: 17 April 2023
Last edited date: 30 May 2023
This notice was replaced on 17 April 2023
This notice does not contain the most up-to-date information about this procurement. The most recent notice is:
Future opportunity (published 17 April 2023, last edited 14 September 2023)
Closed future opportunity - This means that a potential contract has passed its approach to market date. A buyer can choose to consider any supplier interest or convert this notice into an opportunity ready for live procurement.
Contract summary
Industry
Economic research services - 79311400
Location of contract
SW1P 3JR
Value of contract
£0
Procurement reference
CF-0069600D8d000003VQwdEAG
Published date
17 April 2023
Approach to market date
14 June 2023
Contract start date
18 August 2023
Contract end date
31 August 2025
Contract type
Service contract
Procedure type
Open procedure (above threshold)
Any interested supplier may submit a tender in response to an opportunity notice.
This procedure can be used for procurements above the relevant contract value threshold.
Contract is suitable for SMEs?
Yes
Contract is suitable for VCSEs?
Yes
Description
There is a need for Defra to better understand the impact of food price changes on consumers health and welfare, which has become more pressing in light of increasing pressures from modern society. The global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the United Kingdom's (UK) exit from the European Union (EU) and the war in the Ukraine has contributed to increased food price volatility in the UK, and November 2022 saw year-on-year food price inflation rise to the highest levels since the 1970s.
This research is likely to consist of the following 6 objectives:
1. To make incremental improvement to the accuracy and usefulness of the current food price modelling systems by using the most updated datasets, provided by Defra, by November 2023.
2. To identify the impact of food price movements on household affordability, health, and welfare through the creation of an analytical model.
3. To analyse the effects of food price movements on consumer behaviour amongst economically and socially disadvantages groups in England.
4. Upon provision of a list of options by Defra, to prioritise possible options for policy interventions targeted at food affordability and accessibility.
5. To produce a variant of the current food price modelling system to analyse the impact of food price drivers in a period of heightened food price volatility.
6. To improve functionality of the modelling system to produce results on sector-led basis, thus improving granularity of data.
Defra is seeking an external research academic or consultancy with econometric expertise to develop a single food price model combining the current food price and elasticities frameworks and expand the research even further to gain an in-depth understanding of what drives food affordability, accounting for the heterogeneity across household types and groups. The model should allow Defra to test different types of scenarios (the 'what if' questions) and measure the impacts of food price inflation (the 'so what' questions) on different household groups. This will help to ensure that the rationale for Government interventions and feasibility of potential policy considerations arising from market failures or inequities will be based on sound and credible evidence.
More information
Previous notice about this procurement
Development and expansion of existing food price modelling system
- Future opportunity
- Published 17 April 2023, last edited 22 May 2023
About the buyer
Contact name
Emily Hayes
Address
Nobel House, 17 Smith Square
London
SW1P 3JR
United Kingdom
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